Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Complexul Sportiv Raional (Orhei)

Referee: Popov N. (Bul)


	Milsami Orhei		Astana

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.25	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.27	3.19	2.19
	3.2	3.32	2.21	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.91
	3.13	3.28	2.27	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.22)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)	2.19 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milsami Orhei
29.2%

Draw
28.5%

Astana
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milsami Orhei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milsami Orhei's form might have worsened.

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	34%	56%

Milsami Orhei - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Milsami will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). Astana will win (votes: 26 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 35.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 40.1% – 68.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cioban M. (G) 14. Milic A. 4. Koy Lupano D. 23. Bolohan V. (C) 25. Khali N. 10. Ginsari R. 32. Amougui V. 19. Lambarskiy I. 15. Ndon I. 22. Camara M. H. 17. Spataru D.	93. Condric J. (G) 5. Kazukolovas K. 22. Marochkin A. 45. Amanovic A. 2. Bartolec K. 7. Ebong M. 77. Gripshi N. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Geoffrey C. 28. Camara O.
Substitutes
16. Antoniuc A. 27. Dijinari V. 6. Ghimp I. 7. Lisu D. 13. Luchita V. 1. Mostovei I. (G) 8. Okebugwu H. 5. Terekhov Y. 12. Vornic D. (G) 21. Zavalisca V.	11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 4. Bystrov M. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 3. Kalaica B. 8. Kuat I. 19. Osei B. 74. Seysen M. (G) 55. Zarutskiy A. (G)
Coaches
Picusceac I.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Gripshi N. ⚽, Bartolec K. (A),
62', Amougui V. ↓, Okebugwu H. ↑,
62', Lambarskiy I. ↓, Luchita V. ↑,
62', Ndon I. ↓, Antoniuc A. ↑,
66', Kazukolovas K. 🟨,
79', Khali N. 🟨,
80', Geoffrey C. 🟨,
81', Milic A. ↓, Zavalisca V. ↑,
81', Geoffrey C. ↓, Ahanonu N. F. ↑,
82', Amanovic A. ↓, Osei B. ↑,
86', Tomasov M. ↓, Kuat I. ↑,
86', Gripshi N. ↓, Kalaica B. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Koy Lupano D. ⚽, Spataru D. (A),
90+1', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Milsami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Astana will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milsami Orhei
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	Milsami Orhei - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:0 ✺
11.07.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Milsami Orhei	2:4 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
18.05.24	Milsami Orhei - Dacia Buiucani	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Milsami Orhei - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTTL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
29.06.24	Astana - Kairat	1:3 ✺
22.06.24	Kyzylzhar - Astana	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Astana - Ordabasy	0:1 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
26.05.24	Zhetysu - Astana	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
18.05.24	Atyrau - Astana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

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