Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Žetisu Stadion (Taldykorgan)


	Zhetysu		Astana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	4.1	1.42
	6.1	4.25	1.45	Watch
	6.9	4.47	1.39
				Watch
	6.5	4	1.44
	7.02	4.36	1.45
	5.1	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.27 ↓ (8.53)	4.2 ↓ (4.91)	1.45 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetysu
14.6%

Draw
21.9%

Astana
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

18.8%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.1%

17.6%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Zhetysu - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zhetysu will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Astana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Astana (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Golubnichiy M. (G) 93. Askarov S. 88. Bolov R. 11. Chochiev A. 17. Esimbekov D. 22. Karimov R. 55. Karwot M. 5. Kovel M. 27. Omatay M. 15. Schmidt D. (C) 10. Takulov S.	93. Condric J. (G) 45. Amanovic A. 2. Bartolec K. 28. Camara O. 7. Ebong M. 9. Geoffrey C. 77. Gripshi N. 5. Kazukolovas K. 22. Marochkin A. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 6. Vorogovskiy Y.
Substitutes
6. Akhmedov A. 1. Egorov A. (G) 9. Fofanah S. 66. Kadyrov R. 4. Kashken D. 73. Kurmanakhan Y. 14. Mukhametkhanov Z. 7. Nurbol N. 77. Orynbasar D. 33. Ovchinnikov K. 19. Serikkul R. 23. Shaykhov B.	11. Ahanonu N. 21. Astanov E. 8. Basic I. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 3. Kalaica B. 81. Karimov R. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 74. Seysen M. (G) 18. Shomko D. 14. Zhaksylykov N.
Coaches
Smakov S.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Karimov R. 🟨,
16', Geoffrey C. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Gripshi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Esimbekov D. 🟨,
66', Esimbekov D. ↓, Mukhametkhanov Z. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Geoffrey C. ⚽,
73', Ebong M. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
76', Kovel M. ↓, Fofanah S. ↑,
76', Takulov S. ↓, Orynbasar D. ↑,
79', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
84', Chochiev A. ↓, Akhmedov A. ↑,
86', Gripshi N. ↓, Basic I. ↑,
86', Camara O. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 1.

Recent performances by Zhetysu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Astana is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Astana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Astana is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:40. (average 0.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhetysu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
28.06.25	Ulytau - Zhetysu	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Zhetysu - Kairat	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	Kaisar - Zhetysu	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Zhetysu - Aktobe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.7 WLTTW
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
29.06.25	Astana - Kyzylzhar	3:3 ✺
22.06.25	Aktobe - Astana	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Astana - Okzhetpes	5:2 ✺
30.05.25	Yelimay Semey - Astana	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Astana - Zhenis	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
30.03.25	Astana - Zhetysu	3:0
10.11.24	Astana - Zhetysu	5:0
Kazakh League Cup
26.05.24	Zhetysu - Astana	2:1
Kazakh Premier League
05.03.24	Zhetysu - Astana	0:2
21.10.23	Astana - Zhetysu	2:1
09.03.23	Zhetysu - Astana	0:2
Kazakh Cup
07.08.22	Astana - Zhetysu	2:2

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