Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 14

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Cosmos		La Fiorita

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.55	1.68
	5.14	3.88	1.58	Watch
	5	3.5	1.57
	5.74	3.54	1.55
	5	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (3.65)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cosmos
18%

Draw
25.2%

La Fiorita
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

25.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

25.1%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cosmos's form might have worsened.

La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Fiorita's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cosmos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Fiorita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cosmos - La Fiorita Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Fiorita (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Semprini J. ⚽, Felipe J. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 0.

Cosmos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

La Fiorita is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, La Fiorita is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cosmos won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Cosmos
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.12.25	Pennarossa - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cosmos - Folgore	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Cailungo - Cosmos	2:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Cosmos - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.11.25	Cosmos - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWTLT
- La Fiorita
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.12.25	La Fiorita - Domagnano	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	San Giovanni - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	La Fiorita - Tre Fiori	2:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Murata - La Fiorita	0:3 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.11.25	Pennarossa - La Fiorita	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
13.05.25	Cosmos - La Fiorita	0:0
10.05.25	La Fiorita - Cosmos	0:0
01.03.25	Cosmos - La Fiorita	0:3
17.05.24	La Fiorita - Cosmos	2:0
17.02.24	La Fiorita - Cosmos	1:0
21.10.23	Cosmos - La Fiorita	1:1
20.05.23	La Fiorita - Cosmos	1:2

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