Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 12

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Cosmos		Folgore

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.2	2.32
	2.61	3.23	2.42
	2.63	3.37	2.44	Watch
	2.66	3.22	2.35
	2.62	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.38)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	2.39 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cosmos
34.2%

Draw
27.9%

Folgore
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Cosmos - Folgore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Islamaj K. ⚽, Mossolini D. (A),
90+2', Pancotti S. 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cosmos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cosmos won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cosmos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Cosmos
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
30.11.25	Cailungo - Cosmos	2:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Cosmos - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
23.11.25	Cosmos - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Fiorentino - Cosmos	0:1 ✺
31.10.25	Cosmos - Murata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTWT
- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
29.11.25	Folgore - Tre Penne	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	San Giovanni - Folgore	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Folgore - AC Libertas	6:1 ✺
25.10.25	Folgore - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
30.03.25	Cosmos - Folgore	1:1
30.11.24	Folgore - Cosmos	1:4
23.01.24	Cosmos - Folgore	2:1
23.09.23	Folgore - Cosmos	0:0
15.04.23	Cosmos - Folgore	5:0
07.01.23	Folgore - Cosmos	0:4
14.04.22	Cosmos - Folgore	2:5

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