Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 12

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	San Giovanni		La Fiorita

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.19
	11.83	5.9	1.17
	12.58	5.86	1.19	Watch
	11.3	6.2	1.22
	13	6	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.94 ↑ (8)	5.89 ↑ (4.6)	1.18 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Giovanni
7.6%

Draw
15.5%

La Fiorita
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

19.9%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

19%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Fiorita's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

San Giovanni - La Fiorita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Olcese E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 2, Vitaioli M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 0.

Recent performances by San Giovanni have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

La Fiorita is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

La Fiorita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Giovanni has had a series of away games.

In this match, La Fiorita is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Giovanni won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
30.11.25	Faetano - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	San Giovanni - Folgore	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Murata - San Giovanni	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus - San Giovanni	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Cailungo - San Giovanni	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLW
- La Fiorita
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
29.11.25	La Fiorita - Tre Fiori	2:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Murata - La Fiorita	0:3 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.11.25	Pennarossa - La Fiorita	0:5 ✺
09.11.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Faetano - La Fiorita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
09.03.25	La Fiorita - San Giovanni	2:1
08.11.24	San Giovanni - La Fiorita	1:2
25.02.24	La Fiorita - San Giovanni	2:1
04.11.23	San Giovanni - La Fiorita	0:3
12.04.23	San Giovanni - La Fiorita	1:1
18.12.22	La Fiorita - San Giovanni	2:2
12.03.22	San Giovanni - La Fiorita	0:3

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