Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	La Fiorita		Tre Fiori

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.19	3	3.17
	2.61	3.18	2.57	Watch
	2.24	2.94	3.17
	2.2	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.58)	3 ↓ (3.15)	3.04 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Fiorita
39.8%

Draw
30.3%

Tre Fiori
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.3%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tre Fiori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tre Fiori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tre Fiori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Fiorita - Tre Fiori Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - La Fiorita (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Fiorita (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Sirri A. ⚽, Sami B. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Cicarelli D. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Scarcella D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 2 - 2, Guidi A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 3.

La Fiorita is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tre Fiori is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, La Fiorita won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Fiorita
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Murata - La Fiorita	0:3 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.11.25	Pennarossa - La Fiorita	0:5 ✺
09.11.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Faetano - La Fiorita	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	AC Libertas - La Fiorita	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTWW
- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Cosmos - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.11.25	Virtus - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Cailungo - Tre Fiori	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	Tre Fiori - Fiorentino	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Tre Penne - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.05.25	La Fiorita - Tre Fiori	1:0
02.02.25	La Fiorita - Tre Fiori	0:0
28.09.24	Tre Fiori - La Fiorita	1:2
10.03.24	Tre Fiori - La Fiorita	1:1
25.11.23	La Fiorita - Tre Fiori	1:0
16.04.23	La Fiorita - Tre Fiori	1:0
07.01.23	Tre Fiori - La Fiorita	1:1

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