Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 17 February 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Omnisport Roumdé Adjia (Garoua)

Referee: Uwikunda S. (Rwa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Coton Sport de Garoua		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.1	Watch
	3.3	2.7	2.25
	3.65	2.5	2.55
	3.95	2.74	2.14
	3.4	2.6	2.3	Watch
	3.58	2.82	2.27	Watch
	3.25	2.85	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.44)	2.74 ↓ (2.94)	2.28 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coton Sport de Garoua
26.3%

Draw
33.4%

Mamelodi Sundowns
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

33.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coton Sport de Garoua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coton Sport de Garoua's form might have worsened.

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coton Sport de Garoua than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coton Sport de Garoua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	13.3%	66.7%

Coton Sport de Garoua - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Coton Sport will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mamelodi Sundowns: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Coton Sport is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mamelodi Sundowns in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mamelodi Sundowns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Coton Sport have a series of guest games.

Mamelodi Sundowns will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coton Sport de Garoua
Cameroon Elite One
08.02.23	Eding Sport - Coton Sport de Garoua	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Renaissance de Ngoumou - Coton Sport de Garoua	0:1 ✺
04.01.23	Coton Sport de Garoua - Stade Renard de Melong	1:1 ✺
28.12.22	Bamenda - Coton Sport de Garoua	1:2 ✺
24.12.22	UMS de Loum - Coton Sport de Garoua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWT
- Mamelodi Sundowns
CAF Champions League
11.02.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	1:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
07.02.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	3:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
04.02.23	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United	2:0 ✺
24.01.23	TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

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