Match Info

Date: 10 April 2021, Saturday


	Cova De Piedade		Varzim

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.87	2.45
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	3.05	2.75	2.45
	3	2.85	2.48
	3.2	2.96	2.62
	3.1	2.8	2.55
	3.06	2.83	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.86)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	2.53 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cova De Piedade
30.3%

Draw
32.8%

Varzim
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

32.3%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

23.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cova De Piedade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varzim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cova De Piedade - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Varzim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cova De Piedade won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cova De Piedade won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
04.04.21	Feirense - Cova De Piedade	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Benfica B - Cova De Piedade	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Cova De Piedade - Estoril Praia	2:3 ✺
13.03.21	Leixões - Cova De Piedade	1:1 ✺
08.03.21	Cova De Piedade - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWLTL
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
02.04.21	Varzim - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
26.03.21	Académico de Viseu - Varzim	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Varzim - Mafra	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Estoril Praia - Varzim	1:0 ✺
08.03.21	Varzim - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	1:3
23.02.20	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	1:2
14.09.19	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	2:1
12.05.19	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	0:0
09.01.19	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
21.07.18	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
22.04.18	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	1:1

Cova De Piedade - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide