Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Benfica B		Cova De Piedade

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.7	3.3	4.75
	1.72	3.4	4.7
	1.75	3.59	5.37
	1.73	3.4	5
	1.73	3.72	4.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.44 ↑ (3.29)	4.89 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
54.1%

Draw
27%

Cova De Piedade
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

28.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

22.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cova De Piedade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	3.8%	26.9%

Benfica B - Cova De Piedade Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Cova De Piedade will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Benfica B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cova De Piedade is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cova De Piedade could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benfica B is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
21.03.21	Benfica B - Leixões	2:1 ✺
13.03.21	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
08.03.21	Benfica B - Arouca	3:1 ✺
28.02.21	Estoril Praia - Benfica B	3:2 ✺
22.02.21	Benfica B - Mafra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLW
- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
20.03.21	Cova De Piedade - Estoril Praia	2:3 ✺
13.03.21	Leixões - Cova De Piedade	1:1 ✺
08.03.21	Cova De Piedade - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
27.02.21	Arouca - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
20.02.21	Cova De Piedade - Chaves	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
25.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Benfica B	2:3
16.02.20	Benfica B - Cova De Piedade	2:0
31.08.19	Cova De Piedade - Benfica B	2:0
24.02.19	Benfica B - Cova De Piedade	1:2
06.10.18	Cova De Piedade - Benfica B	0:0
25.02.18	Benfica B - Cova De Piedade	1:1
17.09.17	Cova De Piedade - Benfica B	2:0

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