The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estoril Praia 61.4%
Draw 25.4%
Varzim 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.8%
27.1%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.4%
22.6%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril Praia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Estoril Praia - Varzim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Estoril is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Varzim is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Estoril is absolute favorite.
In this match Estoril is absolute favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.