Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 36

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)


	Cove Rangers		Edinburgh City

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	9
	1.26	5.5	7.75
	1.25	6	9
	1.27	6.27	8.01
	1.25	5.8	8.5
	1.26	5.95	8.5	Watch
	1.26	5.6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.51)	5.73 ↑ (4.33)	8.51 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
73.1%

Draw
16%

Edinburgh City
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

21.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

20%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cove Rangers's performance.

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edinburgh City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cove Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Edinburgh City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cove Rangers - Edinburgh City Predictions

Users Predictions: Cove Rangers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Demus B. (G) 3. Doyle M. 26. Reynolds M. 27. Stewart C. 2. Jones J. 8. Yule B. 15. Darge A. 7. McGowan P. 4. Scully C. 9. Megginson M. 11. Connell K.	21. Adams R. (G) 5. Ewen K. 4. Flatman C. 6. Parker L. 3. Mitchell Q. 8. Marshall F. 7. Zaid M. 10. Wilson C. 18. Faye A. 9. McDonald O. 11. Sambou M.
Substitutes
6. Gillingham W. 17. Kerr J. 5. Niang M. 23. Robertson J. (G)	20. McNamara C. 22. Pitt C. 25. Quate C. (G) 14. Robertson L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Marshall F. ⚽, Zaid M. (A),
22', 1 - 1, McGowan P. ⚽, Megginson M. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Megginson M. ⚽, Connell K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Scully C. 🟨,
58', Yule B. 🟨,
66', McDonald O. ↓, McNamara C. ↑,
68', Yule B. ↓, Kerr J. ↑,
69', Adams R. ↓, Quate C. ↑,
72', Mitchell Q. ↓, Pitt C. ↑,
72', Sambou M. ↓, Robertson L. ↑,
84', Flatman C. 🟨,
85', Megginson M. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Connell K. (Pen),

Preview

Edinburgh City is Relegated to League Two

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cove won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Cove is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cove won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cove won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
27.04.24	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	4:2 ✺
06.04.24	Falkirk - Cove Rangers	5:1 ✺
30.03.24	Cove Rangers - Stirling Albion	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League One
27.04.24	Edinburgh City - Stirling Albion	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Edinburgh City - Annan Athletic	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Edinburgh City - Montrose	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Queen of the South - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
02.03.24	Edinburgh City - Cove Rangers	0:2
23.12.23	Cove Rangers - Edinburgh City	7:2
23.09.23	Edinburgh City - Cove Rangers	2:2
Scottish League Two
15.02.20	Cove Rangers - Edinburgh City	2:1
07.12.19	Edinburgh City - Cove Rangers	2:1
03.08.19	Cove Rangers - Edinburgh City	5:0

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