Match Info

League One - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Galabank (Annan)


	Annan Athletic		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.1	3.5	1.93
	3.2	3.7	2
	2.98	3.93	2.11
	3.12	3.87	2.06	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.95
	3.29	3.59	2.06	Watch
	3.2	3.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.85)	3.67 ↑ (3.35)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
29%

Draw
25.1%

Cove Rangers
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.4%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cove Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cove will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cove: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cove Rangers will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fleming G. (G) 22. Bisland L. 8. Todd J. 15. Kilsby M. 14. Muir R. 11. Carmichael D. 20. Strachan M. 16. Smith P. 4. Dixon J. 17. Brown A. 23. Ross L.	21. Demus B. (G) 3. Doyle M. 2. Murray F. 32. Parker L. 7. Harrington R. 17. Marshall F. 10. Glass D. 15. Darge A. 14. Coulson Q. 20. Gaffney M. 11. McGrath G.
Substitutes
33. Gibson W. 10. Goss T. 7. McGowan P. 5. Muir T. 9. Smith A. 1. Smith J. (G)	22. Emslie A. 6. Gillingham W. 18. Lobban D. 1. Suman N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Marshall F. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Todd J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Smith P. ⚽,
60', McGrath G. ↓, Emslie A. ↑,
60', Coulson Q. ↓, Lobban D. ↑,
64', Todd J. ↓, Muir T. ↑,
64', Muir R. ↓, McGowan P. ↑,
64', Carmichael D. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
64', Smith P. ↓, Goss T. ↑,
66', Gaffney M. ↓, Gillingham W. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Emslie A. ⚽, Marshall F. (A),
73', 1 - 4, Emslie A. ⚽, Glass D. (A),
84', Bisland L. 🟨,
84', Darge A. 🟨,
84', 2 - 4, Smith A. ⚽,

Preview

Annan is League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annan won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cove is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Annan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Annan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
26.04.25	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	5:1 ✺
12.04.25	Alloa Athletic - Annan Athletic	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Annan Athletic - Queen of the South	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Annan Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLW
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
26.04.25	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Dumbarton - Cove Rangers	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Arbroath - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
15.02.25	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	3:1
07.12.24	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	1:1
03.08.24	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	1:3
13.04.24	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	4:2
24.02.24	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	2:1
09.12.23	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	1:3
07.10.23	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	3:2

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