Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 31

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)


	Cove Rangers		Stirling Albion

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.3	3.4	2.85
	2.29	3.53	2.91
	2.28	3.53	2.91
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.25	3.42	2.93	Watch
	2.21	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.78)	3.39 ↓ (3.63)	2.89 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
41%

Draw
27.1%

Stirling Albion
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cove Rangers's form might have worsened.

Stirling Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stirling Albion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cove Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stirling Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Cove Rangers - Stirling Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cove will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Stirling will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suman N. (G) 15. Darge A. 3. Doyle M. 26. Reynolds M. 2. Jones J. 24. Fyvie F. 7. McGowan P. 17. Kerr J. 4. Scully C. 10. Burrell R. 11. Connell K.	1. Currie B. (G) 2. McGeachie R. 5. McGregor J. 4. McLean P. 3. Clark C. 19. Offord K. 12. Banner K. 10. Leitch J. 30. Crane C. 14. McPake J. 22. Spence G.
Substitutes
21. Demus B. (G) 6. Gillingham W. 5. Niang M. 27. Stewart C.	7. Allan-Molotnikov R. 21. Cooper J. 6. Cummins A. 25. Hilson D. 24. Milne L. 11. Moore K. 27. Weir M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Offord K. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Burrell R. ⚽, Reynolds M. (A),
34', McGregor J. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, McGregor J. (Own goal),
44', Burrell R. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, Niang M. ⚽,
58', 3 - 2, Clark C. ⚽, Offord K. (A),
60', Crane C. 🟨,
67', McPake J. 🟨,
72', Spence G. ↓, Hilson D. ↑,
78', McGowan P. ↓, Gillingham W. ↑,
82', Connell K. 🟨,
84', Banner K. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
84', Leitch J. ↓, Milne L. ↑,
90', Kerr J. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 2, McGregor J. (Own goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cove won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cove will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cove won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cove won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
23.03.24	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Cove Rangers - Montrose	1:4 ✺
05.03.24	Cove Rangers - Falkirk	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Edinburgh City - Cove Rangers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Stirling Albion
Scottish League One
23.03.24	Stirling Albion - Montrose	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hamilton Academical - Stirling Albion	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Stirling Albion - Falkirk	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Queen of the South - Stirling Albion	2:2 ✺
27.02.24	Stirling Albion - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
03.02.24	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	2:2
Scottish Cup
25.11.23	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	0:2
Scottish League One
18.11.23	Cove Rangers - Stirling Albion	3:1
30.09.23	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	2:2
Scottish League Cup
10.07.21	Cove Rangers - Stirling Albion	2:3
Scottish League Two
10.03.20	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	1:7
09.11.19	Cove Rangers - Stirling Albion	1:0

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