The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kelty Hearts 36.8%
Draw 27.1%
Edinburgh City 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
25.6%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
25.1%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 15. Davidson A. 5. Flatman C. 35. Brydon J. (C) 16. Falconer T. 26. Cunningham R. 6. Ferguson A. 10. Murray I. 14. Hislop J. 9. Higginbotham K. 11. Cole R.
1. Weir M. (G) 5. Grigor J. 23. McGregor J. (C) 21. Rowe F. 2. McGinn C. 10. Jarvis J. 24. Foster K. 11. Lawson I. 18. Aiken M. 20. North T. 7. Walker L.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 17. Falconer M. 22. Flatman Z. 3. Hannah C. 18. Lawson N. 25. Walker G.
17. Bunker C. 22. Dowie S. (G) 25. Glasgow E. 8. Leitch R. 4. Pitt C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
1', McGregor J. 🟨,
2', 0 - 1, Walker L. ⚽, Jarvis J. (A),
14', Flatman C. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Jarvis J. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Davidson A. ↓, Walker G. ↑,
41', 0 - 3, North T. ⚽, Grigor J. (A),
44', Walker G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cole R. 🟨,
48', Jarvis J. 🟨,
48', 🟨,
56', Cunningham R. ↓, Falconer M. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Cole R. ⚽, Murray I. (A),
69', Ferguson A. 🟨,
72', Foster K. ↓, Leitch R. ↑,
76', Falconer T. ↓, Lawson N. ↑,
86', North T. ↓, Bunker C. ↑,
90+1', Walker L. ↓, Glasgow E. ↑,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 5.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Kelty Hearts has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:20 (averaging 2.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kelty Hearts against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.7:1.5 per game).
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Edinburgh City: 11.71% Kelty Hearts: 10.33%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Kelty Hearts
9
4
0
5
13:18
-5
12
8
Edinburgh City
9
4
3
2
19:15
4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Kelty Hearts - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.81%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Smith J. (G) 
Higginbotham K. 
Walker G. 
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