Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 21

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)


	Cove Rangers		Queens Park

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2	Watch
	3	3.6	2.05
	2.95	3.3	2.23	Watch
	3	3.55	2.12
	3.43	3.66	2.08
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.34	3.84	1.96	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.68)	3.57 ↑ (3.21)	2.07 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
29.5%

Draw
25.8%

Queens Park
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.4%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Queens Park's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queens Park, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	10.5%	68.4%

Cove Rangers - Queens Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cove will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Queens Park will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Queens Park: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cove won 1.

Recent matches Cove is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Queen's Park in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Cove have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cove won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cove won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish Football Championship
02.01.23	Inverness - Cove Rangers	6:1 ✺
23.12.22	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Cove Rangers - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Cove Rangers - Dunipace	7:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
19.11.22	Cove Rangers - Greenock Morton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWL
- Queens Park FC
Scottish Football Championship
02.01.23	Queens Park - Partick Thistle	2:0 ✺
23.12.22	Arbroath - Queens Park	1:4 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
10.12.22	Queens Park - Montrose	2:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.12.22	Queens Park - Hamilton Academical	4:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Peterhead - Queens Park	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
04.11.22	Cove Rangers - Queens Park	2:0
27.08.22	Queens Park - Cove Rangers	2:1
Scottish League One
03.04.22	Queens Park - Cove Rangers	1:1
12.02.22	Cove Rangers - Queens Park	0:0
30.10.21	Cove Rangers - Queens Park	3:3
07.08.21	Queens Park - Cove Rangers	2:0
Scottish League Two
22.02.20	Cove Rangers - Queens Park	2:0

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