Match Info

SCOTLAND: Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Hampden Park (Glasgow)


	Queens Park		Montrose

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	5.25
	1.38	4.5	6.25
	1.45	4.5	6.5
	1.42	4.81	6.59	Watch
	1.3	4.75	8
	1.43	4.55	6.83
	1.45	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)	4.66 ↓ (5.5)	6.56 ↑ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park
65.9%

Draw
19.9%

Montrose
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

16.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

15.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Queens Park - Montrose Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrie C. (C) 2. Mauchin Z. 6. Ujdur N. 15. Tizzard W. 3. Scott J. 7. Longridge L. 4. Welsh S. 37. Hickey R. 20. Turner J. 23. Duncan R. 18. McLeish L.	1. Gill C. (G) 14. Dillon S. 4. Quinn A. 19. McKenzie B. 20. Bertie K. 23. Machado M. 6. Masson T. (C) 16. Sandilands C. 7. Webster G. 9. Hester K. 11. Lyons B.
Substitutes
28. Drozd S. 19. Hinds J. 44. MacKenzie M. 46. McGinlay A. 17. Rudden Z. 39. Scott T. 9. Thompson M. 21. Wills J. (G)	24. Balfour A. 22. Brown C. 15. Maciver-Redwood B. 21. Matthews R. (G) 17. Shrive A. 12. Stirton O. 5. Waddell K. 8. Watson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Bertie K. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, McLeish L. ⚽, Turner J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 1 - 1, Lyons B. ⚽, Sandilands C. (A),
57', Hickey R. ↓, Drozd S. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Lyons B. ⚽, Machado M. (A),
63', Drozd S. 🟨,
67', Mauchin Z. ↓, Rudden Z. ↑,
72', Hester K. ↓, Stirton O. ↑,
72', Masson T. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
77', Duncan R. ↓, Thompson M. ↑,
77', McLeish L. ↓, Hinds J. ↑,
80', Machado M. ↓, Shrive A. ↑,
84', Webster G. 🟨,
86', Sandilands C. ↓, Watson P. ↑,
86', Lyons B. ↓, Maciver-Redwood B. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Rudden Z. ⚽, Drozd S. (A),
90+2', Ujdur N. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
98', 3 - 2, Scott J. ⚽, Longridge L. (A),
103', Bertie K. ↓, Waddell K. ↑,
110', Thompson M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Queens Park won 1.

Queens Park is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Montrose is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montrose could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Queens Park is certain favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Queens Park won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28:17 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Queens Park won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park FC
Scottish Football Championship
11.01.25	Falkirk - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Queens Park - Livingston	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
20.12.24	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Hamilton Academical - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLL
- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Arbroath - Montrose	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Montrose - Dumbarton	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Montrose - Inverness	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
10.12.22	Queens Park - Montrose	2:0
Scottish League One
23.04.22	Montrose - Queens Park	2:1
26.02.22	Queens Park - Montrose	0:1
18.12.21	Montrose - Queens Park	1:1
03.10.21	Queens Park - Montrose	1:1
Scottish Cup
29.11.16	Queens Park - Montrose	2:0
Scottish League Two
12.03.16	Montrose - Queens Park	1:1

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