Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)


	Inverness		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.5	8
	1.31	4.95	8.1
	1.34	5.04	8.53
	1.32	5.25	8.05	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8
	1.33	4.65	7.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)	4.83 ↑ (4.28)	8.04 ↑ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
69.6%

Draw
19%

Cove Rangers
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

20.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Inverness - Cove Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 20. Brannan B. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 3. MacIntyre O. 7. Allan P. 18. Chalmers J. 19. Stewart A. 22. Alonge J. 36. Bavidge A. 9. McKay B.	21. Demus B. (G) 2. Bisland L. 15. Darge A. 32. Parker L. 7. Harrington R. 8. Yule B. 22. O'Donnell L. 14. Masson J. 18. Emslie A. 9. Megginson M. (C) 77. Maguire C.
Substitutes
11. Longstaff L. 8. Mackinnon A. 14. MacLeod C. 12. Robertson M. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D. 23. Zimba C.	26. Carroll L. 20. Eguaibor D. 6. Eguaibor J. 17. McAllister R. 1. Mutch R. (G) 4. Strachan M. 16. Teasdale J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Stewart A. ⚽, Allan P. (A),
41', Maguire C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Allan P. ↓, Wotherspoon D. ↑,
62', Bavidge A. ↓, Mackinnon A. ↑,
68', Masson J. ↓, Teasdale J. ↑,
68', Bisland L. ↓, Carroll L. ↑,
73', Stewart A. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
73', McKay B. ↓, Zimba C. ↑,
78', O'Donnell L. ↓, McAllister R. ↑,
80', Savage R. 🟨,
81', Alonge J. ↓, MacLeod C. ↑,
84', Maguire C. ↓, Eguaibor D. ↑,
90', Darge A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Demus B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 3.

Inverness is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cove has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Inverness is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Inverness will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Inverness won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.5:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Cove Rangers: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cove Rangers	9	1	2	6	8:15	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
07.03.26	Inverness - Montrose	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Inverness	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.02.26	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2 ✺
Scottish League One
21.02.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWTW
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
07.03.26	Cove Rangers - Peterhead	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Cove Rangers - Montrose	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	East Fife - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
10.01.26	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:0
08.11.25	Inverness - Cove Rangers	1:0
13.09.25	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:1
05.04.25	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:3
28.12.24	Inverness - Cove Rangers	1:4
Scottish Cup
30.11.24	Cove Rangers - Inverness	2:0
Scottish League One
09.11.24	Cove Rangers - Inverness	1:2

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