Match Info

League One - Round 20

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen) 🌤️ ...


	Cove Rangers		Montrose

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	2	3.25	3.1
	2.05	3.35	3.25
	2.02	3.48	3.51
	2.2	3.33	3.18	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.01	3.28	3.37	Watch
	1.96	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.13)	3.32 (3.32)	3.27 (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
44.5%

Draw
27.5%

Montrose
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Cove Rangers - Montrose Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mutch R. (G) 7. Harrington R. 6. Eguaibor J. 32. Parker L. 15. Darge A. 8. Yule B. 17. McAllister R. 22. O'Donnell L. 77. Maguire C. 9. Megginson M. (C) 20. Eguaibor D.	1. Sharp H. (G) 17. Towler E. 18. Glasgow E. 4. Quinn A. 3. Steeves A. (C) 12. Freeman K. 22. Brown C. 8. Sandilands C. 7. Webster G. 11. Lyons B. 10. Sutherland T.
Substitutes
2. Bisland L. 21. Demus B. (G) 4. Strachan M.	20. Bertie K. 21. Campbell M. (G) 23. Clelland A. 6. Masson T. 16. North T. 15. Stevenson G. 5. Waddell K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, O'Donnell L. ⚽, Eguaibor D. (A),
26', 2 - 0, McAllister R. ⚽, Maguire C. (A),
37', Steeves A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Glasgow E. ↓, North T. ↑,
46', Towler E. ↓, Stevenson G. ↑,
65', Yule B. 🟨,
68', Maguire C. ↓, Strachan M. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Sandilands C. ⚽, Lyons B. (A),
78', Darge A. ↓, Bisland L. ↑,
82', Webster G. ↓, Masson T. ↑,
82', Sutherland T. ↓, Bertie K. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, O'Donnell L. ⚽, McAllister R. (A),
87', Sandilands C. ↓, Clelland A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cove won 2.

In recent matches, Cove has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montrose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cove will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cove won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cove won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Montrose	12	6	1	5	17:20	-3	19
10	Cove Rangers	11	1	3	7	9:18	-9	6

Last Results with these Odds

Montrose - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.41%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
14.02.26	East Fife - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL
- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
14.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:2 ✺
10.02.26	Montrose - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	East Fife - Montrose	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	4:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Partick Thistle - Montrose	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
25.10.25	Montrose - Cove Rangers	0:3
16.08.25	Cove Rangers - Montrose	3:3
15.03.25	Montrose - Cove Rangers	2:2
11.02.25	Cove Rangers - Montrose	1:1
26.10.24	Montrose - Cove Rangers	0:2
31.08.24	Cove Rangers - Montrose	1:0
09.03.24	Cove Rangers - Montrose	1:4

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