Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 27

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Edinburgh City		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.25
	9.75	6.25	1.2
	11	6.5	1.2	Watch
	11.94	6.69	1.21
	12	7	1.14
	11	6.55	1.2	Watch
	9.2	6	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.56 ↑ (6.56)	6.36 ↑ (5.25)	1.2 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh City
8.8%

Draw
14.5%

Cove Rangers
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

17.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

16.6%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edinburgh City's form might have worsened.

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cove Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-5%)

Edinburgh City - Cove Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Adams R. (G) 3. Mitchell Q. 5. Ewen K. 6. Parker L. 4. Flatman C. 11. Wilson C. 8. Marshall F. 18. Faye A. (C) 7. Zaid M. 9. McDonald O. 10. Sambou M.	21. Demus B. (G) 3. Doyle M. 17. Kerr J. 6. Gillingham W. 28. Shiels M. 5. Niang M. 15. Darge A. 4. Scully C. 24. Fyvie F. 9. Megginson M. (C) 10. Burrell R.
Substitutes
20. Devine B. 14. Fisher K. 24. Mair S. 16. McNamara C. 22. Pitt C. 21. Quate C. (G)	11. Connell K. 2. Jones J. 29. Lawal O. 7. McGowan P. 27. Stewart C. 1. Suman N. (G)

Preview

Edinburgh City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cove is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Cove have a series of guest games.

In this match Cove is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Edinburgh City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Edinburgh City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League One
24.02.24	Stirling Albion - Edinburgh City	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Edinburgh City - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
13.02.24	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Montrose - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Edinburgh City - Kelty Hearts	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLLL
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
24.02.24	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	4:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
10.02.24	Kilmarnock - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Scottish League One
03.02.24	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
30.01.24	Brora Rangers - Cove Rangers	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
23.12.23	Cove Rangers - Edinburgh City	7:2
23.09.23	Edinburgh City - Cove Rangers	2:2
Scottish League Two
15.02.20	Cove Rangers - Edinburgh City	2:1
07.12.19	Edinburgh City - Cove Rangers	2:1
03.08.19	Cove Rangers - Edinburgh City	5:0

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