Match Info

League One - Round 35

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: New Central Park (Kelty) 🌤️ ...


	Kelty Hearts		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.3
	2.85	3.3	2.1
	2.72	3.2	2.42
	3.05	3.25	2.62
	2.66	3.41	2.49	Watch
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.73	3.46	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.95)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	2.4 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kelty Hearts
33.3%

Draw
28.2%

Cove Rangers
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.4%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.6%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cove Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gourlay K. (G) 25. Davidson A. 35. Brydon J. 20. Corr D. 12. Fisher S. 7. Moore L. 8. Arnott A. 6. Ferguson A. 18. Pettifer A. 17. McCarvel L. 24. Cooper C.	21. Demus B. (G) 26. Carrol L. 15. Darge A. 32. Parker L. 7. Harrington R. 18. Emslie A. 22. O'Donnell L. 77. Maguire C. 8. Yule B. 16. Teasdale J. 9. Megginson M.
Substitutes
21. Adamson R. (G) 15. Clay C. 26. Cunningham R. 14. Graham J. 30. Leitch G. 10. Murray I. 3. Paterson B. 29. Snoddy J. 2. Thomas M.	2. Bisland L. 20. Eguaibor D. 6. Eguaibor J. 14. Masson C. 17. McAllister R. 1. Mutch R. (G) 4. Strachan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Emslie A. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Megginson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arnott A. ↓, Murray I. ↑,
58', Pettifer A. 🟨,
62', Fisher S. ↓, Paterson B. ↑,
62', Pettifer A. ↓, Cunningham R. ↑,
68', Cooper C. 🟨,
74', Ferguson A. 🟨,
77', Maguire C. ↓, McAllister R. ↑,
77', O'Donnell L. ↓, Masson C. ↑,
79', Megginson M. 🟨,
81', Corr D. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
85', Yule B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cove will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kelty Hearts won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kelty Hearts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cove Rangers	11	1	3	7	9:18	-9	6

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Kelty Hearts: 8.41%

Last Results with these Odds

Kelty Hearts - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
18.04.26	Inverness - Kelty Hearts	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Stenhousemuir - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWTWL
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
18.04.26	Cove Rangers - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Montrose - Cove Rangers	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
21.02.26	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	1:1
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:1 penalties
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:5
27.09.25	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	0:2
26.04.25	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	2:2
11.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	0:4
14.12.24	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	0:0

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