Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Covilhã		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.9
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.55	3.25	1.97
	3.8	3.15	1.96
	4.24	3.55	1.93
	3.6	3	2
	3.78	3.35	1.91
	3.65	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.86)	3.22 ↑ (3.04)	1.95 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
24.4%

Draw
28.5%

Académico de Viseu
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covilhã's form might have worsened.

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Académico de Viseu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covilhã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Covilhã - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Viseu will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viseu: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 2.

Covilhã has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Viseu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viseu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Caldas - Covilhã	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Benfica B - Covilhã	4:0 ✺
11.09.22	Covilhã - Nacional	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Farense - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
27.08.22	Covilhã - Penafiel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTL
- Académico de Viseu
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Académico de Viseu	2:6 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.22	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	2:0 ✺
12.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
24.01.22	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	1:1
15.08.21	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:1
22.05.21	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	3:2
03.03.21	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:1
16.02.20	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	0:1
01.09.19	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	1:3
20.01.19	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	1:1

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