Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Sanha F. (Por)


	Académico de Viseu		Mafra

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.4
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	2.06	3.2	3.7
	2.05	3.02	4.09	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	2.07	3.04	4.04	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)	3.12 ↓ (3.48)	3.77 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
45.9%

Draw
29.6%

Mafra
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Académico de Viseu - Mafra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 4. Almeida A. (C) 2. Michelis N. 55. Gomes H. 34. Marinelli A. 14. Messeguem S. 27. Silva L. 18. Kahraman C. 7. Yuri Araujo 33. Andre Clovis 11. Ott G.	1. Fraisl M. (G) 32. Rodrigo Freitas 4. Passi B. 29. Rossi R. 2. Texel P. 3. Chriso 80. Goncalves V. 5. Beni D. 9. Nibe A. 95. Rochez B. 8. Lucas Gabriel
Substitutes
25. Aidara M. 9. Almeida D. 12. Gomes Gerth F. (G) 8. Kone S. 88. Marquinho 17. Mortimer N. 3. Pinto J. 78. Silva B. 24. Thomas N.	14. Alves K. 66. Capitao D. 16. Djabi A. 10. Fale M. 19. Iheanacho S. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 7. Matos R. 35. Monteiro V.
Coaches
Vieira S.	Alves P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Andre Clovis ⚽, Ott G. (A),
38', Chriso 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Lucas Gabriel ⚽, Beni D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Almeida A. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Rochez B. (Own goal),
60', Marinelli A. 🟨,
66', Rossi R. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
66', Lucas Gabriel ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Andre Clovis ⚽,
69', Andre Clovis ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
69', Yuri Araujo ↓, Almeida D. ↑,
70', Marinelli A. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
74', Chriso ↓, Capitao D. ↑,
77', Ott G. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
78', Kahraman C. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
85', Goncalves V. ↓, Monteiro V. ↑,
86', Texel P. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
90+3', Rochez B. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viseu won 2.

Recent matches Viseu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mafra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viseu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Viseu won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Viseu won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
31.03.25	Benfica B - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Académico de Viseu - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTT
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
31.03.25	Mafra - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Leiria - Mafra	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Mafra - Porto B	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Alverca - Mafra	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Mafra - Vizela	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.24	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	0:2
21.04.24	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	0:1
10.12.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	1:1
12.03.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	2:0
17.09.22	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	2:0
30.01.22	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	0:0
22.08.21	Académico de Viseu - Mafra	1:3

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