Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	3.20	Watch
	2.15	3.30	3.25
	2.05	3.40	3.55	Watch
	2.25	3.38	3.50
	2.08	3.4	3.61	Watch
	2.20	3.30	3.35
	2.24	3.46	3.26	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.26)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)	3.37 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
43.8%

Draw
28.1%

Académico de Viseu
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leo Linck (G) 21. Scholze M. 5. Lekovic S. (C) 4. Bernardo Schappo 55. Rafa Soares 78. Serra S. 39. Doue G. 99. Marcus A. 14. Zvonarek L. 10. Stoica I. 37. Antonetti L.	98. Ewerton (G) 75. Robinho 41. Correia A. 2. Michelis N. 57. Gu Costa 8. Kahraman C. 7. Silva L. (C) 31. Joao Guilherme 14. Messeguem S. 47. Gohi L. 33. Andre Clovis
Substitutes
80. Alisson Souza 17. Encada J. 22. Grilo D. (G) 6. Jansson K. 19. Joan Jordan 30. Luan Patrick 3. Mincarelli L. 49. Mitongo R. 71. Pedro Vanga E. 51. Pinto D. (G) 8. Robinho 93. Souza B.	9. Bouldini M. 3. Brau M. 6. Ceitil A. 21. Domingos T. 18. Ferreira C. 1. Lavin M. (G) 45. Mestanza A. 22. Mortimer N. 5. Pedro Barcelos 44. Pereira R. 17. Valery 10. Zamora A.
Coaches
Miguel P.	Pinheiro B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Andre Clovis ⚽, Kahraman C. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Andre Clovis ⚽, Kahraman C. (A),
30', Doue G. 🟨,
45+1', Gu Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gu Costa ↓, Brau M. ↑,
46', Doue G. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
65', Zvonarek L. ↓, Souza B. ↑,
65', Serra S. ↓, Jansson K. ↑,
68', Joan Jordan 🟨,
69', Gohi L. ↓, Zamora A. ↑,
73', Silva L. 🟨,
73', Messeguem S. 🟨,
77', Stoica I. ↓, Mitongo R. ↑,
79', Kahraman C. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
79', Andre Clovis ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
84', Bernardo Schappo ↓, Robinho ↑,
86', Joao Guilherme ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th and 9th).

Estrela has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Viseu has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Estrela may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Estrela is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Estrela has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:2 (averaging 2.8:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Estrela against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Academico Viseu	8	4	2	2	11:10	1	14
10	Estrela	8	2	4	2	14:15	-1	10

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Academico Viseu: 0.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
14.09.26	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	3:3 ✺
10.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Nacional - Estrela da Amadora	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Alverca - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWTWT
- Académico de Viseu
Liga Portugal
12.09.26	Académico de Viseu - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Porto	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.03.23	Académico de Viseu - Estrela da Amadora	1:1
12.09.22	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	2:1
05.03.22	Académico de Viseu - Estrela da Amadora	0:4
10.10.21	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	4:0

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