Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Covilhã		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	2.55
	2.85	3.11	2.46
	2.57	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.40
	2.66	3.06	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.63)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)	2.48 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
33.7%

Draw
29.7%

Oliveirense
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Covilhã aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 8th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 4.

Recent results have been tough for Covilhã (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Oliveirense have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Covilhã has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:19 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Covilhã against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Mafra - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Covilhã - Mortágua	0:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Covilhã - Atlético CP	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Vitória de Sernache - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLT
- UD Oliveirense
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Oliveirense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Oliveirense - Mafra	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Atlético CP - Oliveirense	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Oliveirense - Penalva do Castelo	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.08.26	União de Santarém - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.05.23	Covilhã - Oliveirense	2:1
30.12.22	Oliveirense - Covilhã	2:0
16.03.21	Covilhã - Oliveirense	1:0
25.10.20	Oliveirense - Covilhã	1:2
03.02.20	Covilhã - Oliveirense	1:0
17.08.19	Oliveirense - Covilhã	0:2
10.03.19	Oliveirense - Covilhã	1:2

Covilhã - Oliveirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide