Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Referee: Silva H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Covilhã		Porto B

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.91
	3.7	3.25	1.87
	3.45	3.35	1.96
	3.7	3.3	1.94
	4.07	3.54	1.97
	3.75	3.2	1.88
	3.88	3.44	1.9
	3.65	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.37)	3.32 ↑ (3.23)	1.92 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
24.4%

Draw
27.7%

Porto B
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.9%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.4%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Covilhã - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 2.

Covilhã is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Porto B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covilhã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Porto B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.23	Covilhã - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Trofense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Covilhã - Vilafranquense	0:0 ✺
30.12.22	Oliveirense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
14.12.22	Covilhã - Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLL
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
22.01.23	Benfica B - Porto B	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Porto B - Tondela	1:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
11.01.23	Fulham U21 - Porto B	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.01.23	Académico de Viseu - Porto B	2:1 ✺
28.12.22	Porto B - Farense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.08.22	Porto B - Covilhã	0:1
07.02.22	Porto B - Covilhã	3:1
29.08.21	Covilhã - Porto B	1:2
21.03.21	Porto B - Covilhã	2:1
31.10.20	Covilhã - Porto B	4:0
26.01.20	Porto B - Covilhã	4:2
11.08.19	Covilhã - Porto B	2:0

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