The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica B 50.2%
Draw 26.3%
Porto B 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
25.1%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
24.3%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
15%
10%
Benfica B - Porto B Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Porto B will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 56% – 94%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica B will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Voitinovicius A. (G) 58. Banjaqui D. 55. Fonseca J. 94. Silva R. 62. Neto J. 86. Prioste D. (C) 85. Ferreira M. 73. Figueiredo M. 84. Rego J. 96. Trevisan J. 67. Rego R.
24. Costa J. (C) 76. Rodrigues D. 73. Bras G. 44. Felipe Silva 80. Henrique Kaio 56. Kaue Rodrigues 58. Silva T. 92. Teixeira J. 72. Miranda A. 79. Vonic L. 75. Karamoh Y.
Substitutes
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 83. Coletta F. 95. de Sousa T. 87. Edokpolor P. 90. Lima I. 77. Moreira G. 89. Parente T. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 74. Tome O.
59. Andrade T. 64. Gomes L. 66. Lima B. 43. Melnichenko T. 89. Mide M. 68. Oliveira A. 54. Ribeiro A. 91. Ribeiro G. (G) 49. Sousa G.
Coaches
Verissimo N.
Brandao J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Teixeira J. 🟨,
31', Rodrigues D. 🟨,
45', Ferreira M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Prioste D. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
46', Rego J. ↓, Tome O. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Trevisan J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 🟨,
62', Neto J. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
63', Rego R. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
63', Henrique Kaio ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
63', Teixeira J. ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
64', Banjaqui D. 🟨,
64', Felipe Silva 🟨,
71', Kaue Rodrigues 🟨,
72', Kaue Rodrigues ↓, Mide M. ↑,
72', Karamoh Y. ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Bras G. ⚽,
75', Andrade T. 🟨,
79', Figueiredo M. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
86', Parente T. 🟨,
88', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 4.
Benfica B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Porto B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Porto B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Benfica B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:31. (average 2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).