Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Covilhã		Amora

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	2.98
	2.17	3.05	2.79
	2.38	3.05	3.07	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.32	2.95	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.34)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
39.3%

Draw
30.4%

Amora
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Covilhã aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Covilhã - Amora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Araujo I. (C) 26. Balsa C. 14. Brito P. 3. Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. 19. Cruz F. 55. Garcia F. 96. Jailson 79. Liberal A. 10. Mica 27. Pimenta T. 13. Ribeiro P.	31. Azevedo D. (G) 8. Antunes M. 13. Balde D. 88. Caires 25. Duque T. (C) 17. Furtado E. 23. Marques F. 22. Marques J. 6. Renzo Trotta 71. Semedo D. 16. Teixeira P.
Substitutes
76. Abacha S. 6. Barbosa A. 21. Cunha V. 20. Ferreira R. 22. Gomes Silva E. 99. Niang C. 78. Peixoto R. 31. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 77. Silva M.	33. Alves A: 27. Camara B. 47. Correia H. (G) 7. Lopes M. 10. Toni 21. Traore B. 37. Wendel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Araujo I. ↓, Pinto Galil L. G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 🟨,
57', Pimenta T. 🟨,
61', Pimenta T. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
64', Balde D. ↓, Costinha ↑,
64', Caires ↓, Lopes M. ↑,
64', Renzo Trotta ↓, Wendel ↑,
75', Cruz F. ↓, Gomes Silva E. ↑,
76', Liberal A. ↓, Ferreira R. ↑,
80', Semedo D. ↓, Pinheiro G. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Antunes M. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Costinha 🟨,
90', Balsa C. 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 1, Niang C. ⚽,
90+3', Brito P. ↓, Niang C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
25.04.26	Caldas - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Covilhã - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	1 Dezembro - Covilhã	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Covilhã - Lusitano GC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLWWL
- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
25.04.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	1 Dezembro - Amora	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Amora - Caldas	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético CP - Amora	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Amora - 1 Dezembro	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.26	Amora - Covilhã	0:3
24.01.26	Amora - Covilhã	2:0
02.11.25	Covilhã - Amora	0:2
17.01.24	Covilhã - Amora	2:0
17.09.23	Amora - Covilhã	1:1

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