Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Medideira Stadium (Amora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Amora		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.15	2.35
	2.87	3.63	2.35
	2.59	3.44	2.55	Watch
	2.83	3.14	2.51
	2.5	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.63)	3.25 ↓ (3.42)	2.41 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amora
33.9%

Draw
28.2%

Lusitano GC
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

27.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Amora - Lusitano GC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Diego (G) 22. Marques J. 25. Duque T. (C) 37. Wendel 77. Pala F. 28. Cruz H. 23. Marques F. 8. Antunes M. 71. Semedo D. 9. Oliveira J. 7. Lopes M.	22. Martins D. (G) 53. Carvalho E. 4. Santana C. (C) 25. Pinto J. 37. Monteiro R. 10. Aguas M. 14. Cande B. 8. Baptista T. 11. Almara F. 30. Davou S. 9. Lopes D.
Substitutes
31. Azevedo D. (G) 19. Barros G. 49. Costinha 13. Lopes M. 4. Marlom Oliveira 6. Renzo Trotta 16. Teixeira P. 10. Toni 21. Traore B.	6. Andrade M. 1. Grilo T. (G) 29. Isnaba G. 99. Lucao 5. Palancha T. 23. Pereira F. 21. Soares M. 77. Tipote L. 17. Vicente G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Lopes D. 🟨,
28', Cande B. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Aguas M. ⚽, Almara F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cande B. ↓, Andrade M. ↑,
57', Andrade M. 🟨,
58', Antunes M. 🟨,
58', Marques F. ↓, Teixeira P. ↑,
58', Lopes M. ↓, Toni ↑,
62', Davou S. ↓, Tipote L. ↑,
63', Oliveira J. ↓, Costinha ↑,
71', Aguas M. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
78', Marques J. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
78', Wendel ↓, Barros G. ↑,
81', Carvalho E. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
82', Lopes D. ↓, Vicente G. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Tipote L. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
90+1', 1 - 2, Barros G. ⚽, Semedo D. (A),
90+5', Toni 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amora won 0.

Amora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lusitano GC is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amora won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Amora won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amora FC
Portuguese Liga 3
19.04.26	1 Dezembro - Amora	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Amora - Caldas	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético CP - Amora	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Amora - 1 Dezembro	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Amora - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWLL
- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
18.04.26	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lusitano GC - 1 Dezembro	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Covilhã - Lusitano GC	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Lusitano GC - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.26	Lusitano GC - Amora	1:0
10.01.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:1
04.10.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.05.25	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:2
04.05.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
19.01.25	Lusitano GC - Amora	0:1
25.08.24	Amora - Lusitano GC	0:0

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