Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Cowdenbeath		Forfar Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.7	3.1	1.93
	3.7	3.15	1.95
	3.65	3.1	2.02
	4.07	3.25	1.95
	3.8	3.1	1.95
	3.9	3.42	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.24)	3.17 ↓ (3.57)	1.97 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cowdenbeath
24.3%

Draw
28.9%

Forfar Athletic
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.6%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

16.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cowdenbeath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forfar Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cowdenbeath than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cowdenbeath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forfar Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cowdenbeath - Forfar Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cowdenbeath won 0.

Cowdenbeath has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Forfar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forfar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cowdenbeath have a series of guest games.

Forfar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cowdenbeath won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Cowdenbeath won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cowdenbeath
Scottish League Two
12.03.22	Stranraer - Cowdenbeath	3:0 ✺
08.03.22	Stirling Albion - Cowdenbeath	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Cowdenbeath - Kelty Hearts	0:1 ✺
25.02.22	Edinburgh City - Cowdenbeath	1:0 ✺
22.02.22	Kelty Hearts - Cowdenbeath	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
12.03.22	Forfar Athletic - Stirling Albion	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Forfar Athletic - Elgin City	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Forfar Athletic - Kelty Hearts	1:0 ✺
15.02.22	Stirling Albion - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
20.11.21	Forfar Athletic - Cowdenbeath	3:0
18.09.21	Cowdenbeath - Forfar Athletic	1:1
29.04.17	Cowdenbeath - Forfar Athletic	1:1
28.01.17	Forfar Athletic - Cowdenbeath	3:1
17.12.16	Cowdenbeath - Forfar Athletic	3:4
13.08.16	Forfar Athletic - Cowdenbeath	4:3
Scottish League One
12.03.16	Forfar Athletic - Cowdenbeath	1:1

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