What is the expert prediction for Cracovia vs Jagiellonia Białystok?

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Cracovia vs Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 14, 2026)

Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Spain	GolStadium
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Cracovia		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.83	3.13	2.77
	2.79	3.09	2.74	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.63
	2.7	3.22	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.44)	3.11 ↑ (2.92)	2.68 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
34.8%

Draw
30.2%

Jagiellonia Białystok
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.6%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Jagiellonia (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Jagiellonia (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 21. Sutalo B. 4. Henriksson G. 61. Traore B. 79. Pila D. 10. Dominguez M. 6. Al Ammari A. (C) 7. Praszelik M. 14. Hasic A. 11. Sans P. 17. Minchev M.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 70. Pelmard A. 13. Vital B. 27. Wdowik B. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 86. Mazurek B. 7. Pozo A. 14. Bazdar S. 19. Nahuel M. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
22. Biedrzycki B. 9. Bogacz W. 99. Charpentier G. 15. Glik K. 91. Golonka K. (G) 70. Kameri D. 43. Klich M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 5. Selan B. 19. Tabisz M. 18. Zahiroleslam K.	66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 31. Flach L. 72. Jozwiak K. 4. Kobayashi Y. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 23. Montoia G. 9. Rallis D. 17. Sylla Y. 77. Szmyt K.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Pelmard A. 🟨,
30', Praszelik M. 🟨,
37', Traore B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pelmard A. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
51', Vital B. 🟨,
51', Minchev M. 🟨,
62', Minchev M. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
62', Dominguez M. ↓, Selan B. ↑,
62', Pozo A. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
74', Nahuel M. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
74', Sans P. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
74', Praszelik M. ↓, Klich M. ↑,
78', Pululu A. 🟨,
80', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
90', Hasic A. ↓, Tabisz M. ↑,
90', Bazdar S. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
90', Pululu A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2.

Jagiellonia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:33. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Jagiellonia	34	15	11	8	56:41	15	56
13	Cracovia	34	9	15	10	39:42	-3	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Cracovia - Artis Brno	2:2 ✺
14.01.26	Cracovia - Čukarički	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.12.25	Cracovia - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTTT
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.02.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Maribor - Jagiellonia Białystok	Canceled ✺
23.01.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Čukarički	3:0 ✺
15.01.26	LASK Linz - Jagiellonia Białystok	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
10.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	5:2
23.02.25	Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2
17.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	2:4
14.04.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	1:3
08.10.23	Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:4
20.05.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	1:1
05.11.22	Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0

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Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide