Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 23

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 1
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	19:00	Veikkaus TV
Poland	18:00	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Cracovia		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.25	3	3.25	Watch
	2.32	3.03	3.63
	2.25	3.1	3.58	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.17	3.23	3.56	Watch
	2.13	2.94	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.13)	3.05 ↑ (2.94)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
41.9%

Draw
30.5%

Piast Gliwice
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cracovia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Cracovia - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Piast will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cracovia (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 21. Sutalo B. 66. Wojcik O. 4. Henriksson G. 39. Perkovic M. 43. Klich M. (C) 6. Al Ammari A. 10. Dominguez M. 14. Hasic A. 70. Kameri D. 11. Sans P.	26. Plach F. (G) 55. Twumasi E. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 5. Juande 36. Lewicki J. 17. Boisgard Q. 10. Dziczek P. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 11. Sanca L. 70. Katsantonis A. 80. Vallejo H.
Substitutes
29. Batoum J. 15. Glik K. 20. Knap K. 17. Minchev M. 79. Pila D. 7. Praszelik M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 5. Selan B. 19. Tabisz M. 61. Traore B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.	63. Barkovskiy G. 28. Borowski F. 6. Chrapek M. 7. Felix J. 3. Fikaj E. 12. Grelich J. (G) 31. Lesniak O. 90. Lima I. 98. Lokilo J. 18. Maziarz O. 22. Mokwa T. 33. Szymanski K. (G)
Coaches
Elsner L.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Kameri D. ⚽, Henriksson G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Katsantonis A. ↓, Barkovskiy G. ↑,
49', Kameri D. 🟨,
50', Lewicki J. 🟨,
53', Wojcik O. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Barkovskiy G. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Dominguez M. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
59', Kameri D. ↓, Tabisz M. ↑,
69', Sans P. ↓, Batoum J. ↑,
72', Sanca L. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
72', Boisgard Q. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Minchev M. ⚽, Al Ammari A. (A),
80', Henriksson G. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Felix J. ⚽,
83', Vallejo H. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
83', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
86', Al Ammari A. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Chrapek M. ⚽, Lesniak O. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cracovia could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cracovia: Kakabadze O. (Injury)

There will not play in Piast: Boisgard Q. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cracovia: Perkovic M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Piast: Drapinski I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Piast Gliwice	12	6	2	4	22:18	4	20
13	Cracovia	12	3	3	6	14:19	-5	12

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Piast Gliwice: 3.64% Cracovia: 0.54%

Last Results with these Odds

Piast Gliwice - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 27.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.02.26	Widzew Łódź - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Cracovia - Artis Brno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWT
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.02.26	Piast Gliwice - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
24.08.25	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0
08.12.24	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0
21.07.24	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	1:1
23.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0
21.08.23	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	1:1
25.02.23	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	2:1
13.08.22	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	0:1

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