Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Cracovia		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	3	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.35	3.3	3
	2.36	3.2	3
	2.52	3.36	3.01
	2.35	3	2.9	Watch
	2.39	3.35	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.9)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.98 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
39.2%

Draw
29.3%

Wisła Kraków
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cracovia's form might have worsened.

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Kraków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Kraków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	15.6%	28.1%

Cracovia - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Wisła will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 0.

Cracovia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Wisła is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wisła could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Wisła have a series of home games.

Cracovia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.04.22	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
18.04.22	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Warta Poznań - Cracovia	1:0 ✺
01.04.22	Stal Mielec - Cracovia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.22	Cracovia - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.04.22	Wisła Kraków - Wisła Płock	3:4 ✺
18.04.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Zabrze	4:1 ✺
03.04.22	Wisła Kraków - Piast Gliwice	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.22	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
07.11.21	Wisła Kraków - Cracovia	1:0
24.04.21	Wisła Kraków - Cracovia	0:0
04.12.20	Cracovia - Wisła Kraków	1:1
03.03.20	Cracovia - Wisła Kraków	0:2
29.09.19	Wisła Kraków - Cracovia	0:1
17.03.19	Wisła Kraków - Cracovia	3:2
07.10.18	Cracovia - Wisła Kraków	0:2

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