Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Cracovia 2		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.75	1.6
	5.29	4.15	1.46
	4.38	3.84	1.66	Watch
	5	3.75	1.5
	5.63	4.86	1.43	Watch
	4.3	4.2	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (4.9)	4.09 ↓ (4.4)	1.53 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia 2
18.6%

Draw
22.1%

Chełmianka Chełm
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

20.1%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

19.4%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Cracovia 2 - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cracovia 2 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Chełmianka will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Banaszewski M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Mustafaev R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, Kuzdra J. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Selan B. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, Mydlarz M. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 3, Strozik J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia 2 won 2.

Recent form of Cracovia 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chełmianka is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Chełmianka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cracovia 2 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18:5	13	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Cracovia 2	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cracovia 2 - Stal Kraśnik	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Cracovia 2	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Cracovia 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cracovia 2 - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.26	Chełmianka Chełm - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	5:2 ✺
01.05.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Cracovia 2	2:1
06.04.23	Cracovia 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1
03.09.22	Chełmianka Chełm - Cracovia 2	1:3
14.05.22	Chełmianka Chełm - Cracovia 2	2:1
09.10.21	Cracovia 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	4:2
14.04.21	Cracovia 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	1:2
05.09.20	Chełmianka Chełm - Cracovia 2	0:0

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