Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Wiślanie Skawina		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.4	2.25
	3.11	3.6	1.98
	2.75	3.59	2.22
	3.1	3.25	2
	2.88	3.7	2.12	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.32)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)	2.14 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiślanie Skawina
31.6%

Draw
26%

Chełmianka Chełm
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

23.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

23.1%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiślanie Skawina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chełmianka Chełm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wiślanie Skawina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chełmianka Chełm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wiślanie Skawina - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3).

Wiślanie is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chełmianka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wiślanie won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Wiślanie won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18:5	13	27
6	Wislanie Skawina	11	5	2	4	15:11	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Star Starachowice - Wiślanie Skawina	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Wisła II Kraków	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
25.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Świdniczanka Świdnik	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2
07.06.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Chełmianka Chełm	3:2
16.11.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiślanie Skawina	1:1

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