The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 56.8%
Draw 24.1%
Newport County 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
23.5%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
24.4%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Crawley Town - Newport County Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Newport (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Davies H. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 28. Flint J. 13. McKirdy H. 10. Brown R. 26. Williams J. 17. Scott K. 22. Adeyemo A. 8. Holohan G. 9. Tshimanga K.
1. Tzanev N. (G) 12. Thomas J. 17. Davies T. 4. Baker M. (C) 18. Shephard L. 15. Jenkins L. 8. Smith M. 14. Whitmore K. 19. Garner G. 23. Reindorf M. 11. Antwi C.
Substitutes
6. Anderson M. 14. Flower L. 23. Kotey F. 20. Mukena J. 25. Papadopoulos A. 11. Roles J. 27. Watson L.
9. Baker-Richardson C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 2. Evans C. 7. Kamwa B. 20. Lloyd B. 22. Ogunneye H. 28. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Hughes D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Thomas J. ↓, Ogunneye H. ↑,
47', Jenkins L. 🟨,
55', Garner G. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
60', Whitmore K. 🟨,
62', Antwi C. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Whitmore K. ⚽, Smith M. (A),
70', 0 - 2, Shephard L. ⚽, Baker M. (A),
75', Brown R. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
77', Holohan G. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
79', 🟨,
82', Reindorf M. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
86', Adeyemo A. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
86', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Anderson M. ⚽, Flower L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
Crawley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Newport is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Newport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Newport has had a series of away games.
In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Newport: Brennan C.
(Inactive)
Spellman M.
(Inactive)
Warner J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H.
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
Watch
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Davies H. (G) 
Williams J. 
Scott K. 
Holohan G. 
Tzanev N. (G) 
Thomas J. 
Anderson M. 
Roles J. 
Kamwa B. 
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