The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grimsby Town 67%
Draw 19.4%
Crawley Town 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
21.6%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
21.2%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Grimsby Town - Crawley Town Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Grimsby (1.44) (votes: 96%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 28. Cartwright F. 4. Green K. (C) 29. Shelton M. 30. Vernam C. 9. Morgan I.
13. Michalski N. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Farquharson P. 24. Odimayo A. 16. Russell J. 22. Adeyemo A. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 35. Ewens-Findlay T. 17. Kamara O. 27. Morgan D. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.
Substitutes
41. Auton S. (G) 8. Doyle C. 10. Finch S. 12. Foulkes J. 26. Pruti E. 11. Reynolds R. 7. Walker J.
11. Aderoju O. 5. Barker C. 7. Ebiowei M. 31. Izquierdo J. (G) 19. Pereira D. 28. Tinsdale N. 8. Watson L.
Coaches
Artell D.
Kazim-Richards C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Vernam C. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Michalski N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Morgan I. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Farquharson P. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Green K. ⚽, Morgan I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Kacurri M. 🟨,
54', Shelton M. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
56', Kamara O. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
58', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
65', Turi G. D. 🟨,
68', Ewens-Findlay T. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
68', Adeyemo A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
70', Morgan I. ↓, Finch S. ↑,
70', Cartwright F. ↓, Reynolds R. ↑,
85', Morgan D. ↓, Tinsdale N. ↑,
85', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Ebiowei M. ↑,
87', Ebiowei M. 🟨,
89', Vernam C. ↓, Foulkes J. ↑,
89', Green K. ↓, Doyle C. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ League Two PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 23rd in the Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
Grimsby has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Crawley has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The betting markets point to Grimsby as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Confirmed absences for Grimsby: Andrews J.
(Inactive)
Cartwright H.
(Inactive)
Pym C.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Crawley: Duke-McKenna S.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Grimsby: Amaluzor J.
(Inactive)
Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Staunton R.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Crawley: Mannone V.
(Inactive).
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Grimsby has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:21 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Grimsby against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).
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Pym C. (G) 
Rodgers H. 
Kacurri M. 
Turi G. D. 
Morgan I. 
Kamara O. 
Doyle C. 
Walker J. 
Pereira D. 
Artell D. 
Kazim-Richards C. 
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