The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnet 68.6%
Draw 19.4%
Newport County 12%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.4%
19.5%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
18%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Barnet - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Slicker C. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. 25. Tavares N. 24. Crichlow-Noble R. 28. Ofoborh N. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 15. Glover R. 10. Stead C. 11. Kanu I. 20. Tshimanga K.
28. Wright J. (G) 2. Evans C. 15. Jenkins L. 4. Baker M. (C) 23. Delaney R. 17. Davies T. 21. Spellman M. 5. Sprangler S. 10. Biggins H. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 7. Kamwa B.
Substitutes
27. Assombalonga B. 8. Browne R. 22. Chinedu P. 13. Evans O. (G) 12. Hawkins O. 17. Howland J. 19. Shelton M.
16. Crole J. 19. Garner G. 20. Lloyd B. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 33. Nyakuhwa T. 8. Smith M. 12. Thomas J.
Coaches
Brennan D.
Fuchs Ch.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Spellman M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Stead C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
59', Davies T. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Kamwa B. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
74', Hartigan A. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
74', Kanu I. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
75', Sprangler S. 🟨,
77', Glover R. 🟨,
79', Davies T. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
80', Kamwa B. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Crole J. ⚽, Nyakuhwa T. (A),
84', Stead C. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
90+2', Biggins H. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Newport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Barnet is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Newport: Brennan C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
Tavares N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Thomas J.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
Watch
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Slicker C. (G) 
Senior A. 
Tavares N. 
Ofoborh N. 
Kanu I. 
Evans C. 
Delaney R. 
Sprangler S. 
Kamwa B. 
Assombalonga B. 
Browne R. 
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