The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 49.9%
Draw 26.5%
Crawley Town 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
26.7%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
26.4%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 15. Drummond K. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 11. Stevens J. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 17. Kavanagh C.
35. Chapman J. (G) 5. Barker C. 4. Bajrami G. 16. Russell J. 41. Gordon K. 49. Darcy R. 26. Williams J. (C) 7. Forster H. 32. Richards T. 44. Lolos K. 99. Orsi-Dadomo D.
Substitutes
31. Donaghy T. (G) 14. Garner J. 27. Hammond O. 21. Hawkes J. 26. Payne K. 16. Sutton W. 7. Taylor K.
22. Adeyemo A. 38. Adeyemo T. 20. Ferizaj J. 31. Odimayo A. 19. Pereira D. 34. Wollacott J. (G)
Coaches
Mellon M.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Richards T. 🟨,
32', Robson J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Stevens J. ⚽, Caprice J. (A),
42', Woods R. 🟨,
45+3', Fondop-Talum M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Stevens J. ⚽, Fondop-Talum M. (A),
59', Lolos K. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
64', Kavanagh C. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
70', Caprice J. 🟨,
72', Drummond K. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
76', Richards T. ↓, Adeyemo T. ↑,
81', Woods R. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
81', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 1.
In recent matches, Oldham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crawley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Oldham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
Malone S.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Oldham: 2.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
21
Oldham
9
2
2
5
9:13
-4
8
24
Crawley
8
1
2
5
8:15
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Oldham Athletic - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.25%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Crawley Town - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 25.08%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.