Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Badgers Sports Ground (Eltham) 🌤️ ...


	Cray Valley Paper Mills		Chichester City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.45	3.4	2.42
	2.53	3.63	2.42
	2.49	3.74	2.39	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.51	3.77	2.46
	2.3	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 (2.45)	3.53 ↓ (3.79)	2.43 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Valley Paper Mills
37%

Draw
25.6%

Chichester City
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

24.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Valley Paper Mills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills - Chichester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Shomotun F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
74', 1 - 1, Dunn E. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Wild J. ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, Wild J. ⚽,
83', 1 - 4, Bello I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Cray Valley PM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chichester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chichester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cray Valley PM won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cray Valley PM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Chichester City - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Billericay Town	1:4 ✺
03.03.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Welling United	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Lewes - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.03.26	Chichester City - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Canvey Island - Chichester City	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Chichester City - Cray Wanderers	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Chichester City	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chichester City - Canvey Island	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.25	Chichester City - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:3
15.02.25	Chichester City - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:2
12.10.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Chichester City	2:1

Cray Valley Paper Mills - Chichester City