Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 33

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lewes		Cray Valley Paper Mills

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.5	2.32
	2.56	3.61	2.4
	2.53	3.78	2.34	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.3
	2.5	3.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.54)	3.55 ↓ (3.87)	2.34 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
35.8%

Draw
25.5%

Cray Valley Paper Mills
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

23.8%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

22.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Lewes - Cray Valley Paper Mills Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, Evans M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Lewes is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cray Valley PM is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lewes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lewes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20:14	6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.02.26	Whitehawk - Lewes	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cheshunt - Lewes	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lewes - Aveley	1:6 ✺
07.02.26	Lewes - Folkestone Invicta	0:5 ✺
31.01.26	Billericay Town - Lewes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL
- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.02.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Canvey Island - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Brentwood Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Cheshunt	3:3 ✺
24.01.26	Aveley - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Lewes	1:1
22.03.25	Lewes - Cray Valley Paper Mills	4:1
04.02.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Lewes	0:0

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