Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Chichester City		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.55	3.55
	1.94	3.78	3.12
	1.92	3.89	3.24	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.25
	1.98	3.64	3.43
	1.55	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.54)	3.79 ↓ (4.19)	3.56 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chichester City
49.9%

Draw
24.2%

Canvey Island
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

21.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chichester City's form might have worsened.

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canvey Island's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chichester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canvey Island, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chichester City - Canvey Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', Kwabena Y. 🟥,
55', 1 - 0, Rowlatt L. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Bello I. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Munt O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Chichester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Canvey Island's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chichester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chichester has had a series of away games.

Recently, Canvey Island has had a series of home games.

Chichester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chichester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chichester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.02.26	Aveley - Chichester City	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Billericay Town - Chichester City	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Chatham Town - Chichester City	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Chichester City - Aveley	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cheshunt - Chichester City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWLL
- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.02.26	Canvey Island - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Canvey Island - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Canvey Island - Welling United	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.11.24	Canvey Island - Chichester City	2:3
10.08.24	Chichester City - Canvey Island	2:1

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