Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday


	Cray Wanderers		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5.25
	1.55	3.85	4.2
	1.46	4.3	5.2
	1.49	4.65	5.16
	1.67	4	3.8
	1.46	4.45	5.45
	1.5	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	4.24 ↑ (4.1)	4.87 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Wanderers
59.9%

Draw
21.4%

Brightlingsea Regent
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

15.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cray Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brightlingsea Regent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cray will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Brightlingsea will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Cray is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brightlingsea has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Cray is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cray won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cray won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.10.22	Potters Bar Town - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Hanwell Town - Cray Wanderers	3:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.10.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Cray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
24.09.22	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
21.09.22	Cray Wanderers - Hastings United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL
- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.22	Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Haringey Borough - Brightlingsea Regent	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.22	Needham Market - Brightlingsea Regent	2:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.09.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Haringey Borough	1:1 ✺
20.09.22	Potters Bar Town - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.01.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Cray Wanderers	1:0
25.09.21	Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent	0:2
07.03.20	Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent	1:0
16.11.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Cray Wanderers	0:2

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