Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 33

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday


	Hornchurch		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.28	5	8
	1.28	5	8.5
	1.28	6.13	7.72
	1.29	6.13	7.72
	1.35	4.5	6
	1.26	5.26	8.9
	1.28	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)	5.29 ↑ (4.2)	7.91 ↑ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
71.1%

Draw
17.3%

Cray Wanderers
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

19.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornchurch's performance.

Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Nash L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Avgoustidis T. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 5.

Hornchurch in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cray is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hornchurch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hornchurch is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hornchurch won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.24	Hornchurch - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Hornchurch - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Whitehawk - Hornchurch	0:4 ✺
19.03.24	Hastings United - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.04.24	Cray Wanderers - Hashtag United	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Margate - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Cray Wanderers - Chatham Town	2:2 ✺
24.03.24	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Haringey Borough - Cray Wanderers	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.10.23	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:4
26.04.23	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	4:3 penalties
25.02.23	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	0:2
24.09.22	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	2:1
10.04.22	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	0:5
21.08.21	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	1:2
15.01.20	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:1

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