Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 10

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Cray Wanderers		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.73
	3.75	3.75	1.78	Watch
	3.47	4.03	1.75
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	3.74	3.75	1.76
	3.75	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.56)	3.75 ↑ (3.72)	1.77 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Wanderers
24.6%

Draw
24.2%

Hornchurch
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.4%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

24.7%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cray won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cray could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cray have a series of guest games.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cray won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Cray won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Wanderers
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Needham Market - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.10.23	Concord Rangers - Cray Wanderers	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Kingstonian - Cray Wanderers	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Cray Wanderers - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
20.09.23	Ramsgate - Cray Wanderers	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWL
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.10.23	Hornchurch - Hastings United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Leiston - Hornchurch	2:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Hornchurch - Aveley	1:2 ET ✺
30.09.23	Aveley - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.09.23	Hornchurch - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.04.23	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	4:3 penalties
25.02.23	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	0:2
24.09.22	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	2:1
10.04.22	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	0:5
21.08.21	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	1:2
15.01.20	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:1
18.03.14	Hornchurch - Cray Wanderers	1:2

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