Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Aveley		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37
	2.75	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.83	3.2	2.52
	2.81	3.19	2.52	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	2.74	3.24	2.4
	2.75	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.67)	3.19 ↓ (3.52)	2.45 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
33.4%

Draw
28.9%

Hornchurch
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25.3%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Aveley - Hornchurch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Kawa D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Hearn H. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aveley won 4.

Aveley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Aveley won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
21.12.24	Bath City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Tonbridge Angels - Aveley	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Barnet - Aveley	2:0 ✺
English National League South
02.12.24	Aveley - Maidstone United	0:3 ✺
29.11.24	Aveley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
21.12.24	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
03.12.24	Chesham United - Hornchurch	1:3 ✺
30.11.24	Hornchurch - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
03.10.23	Hornchurch - Aveley	1:2 ET
30.09.23	Aveley - Hornchurch	2:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.05.23	Hornchurch - Aveley	0:1
28.01.23	Hornchurch - Aveley	1:2
12.11.22	Aveley - Hornchurch	1:0
English FA Trophy
11.01.20	Hornchurch - Aveley	1:2

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