Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	SantAngelo		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.15	3
	2.2	3.31	2.97	Watch
	2.21	3.36	3.15
	2.3	3.2	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.28)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	2.99 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SantAngelo
41.5%

Draw
28%

Sasso Marconi
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SantAngelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

SantAngelo - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

SantAngelo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sasso Marconi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, SantAngelo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sant'Angelo	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

SantAngelo - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.84%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.01.26	Trevigliese - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	SantAngelo - Lentigione	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Progresso - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	SantAngelo - Tuttocuoio	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Piacenza - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWL
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.01.26	Sasso Marconi - Sangiuliano City Nova	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sasso Marconi - Progresso	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Rovato Vertovese - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Desenzano Calvina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
14.09.25	Sasso Marconi - SantAngelo	2:1

SantAngelo - Sasso Marconi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide