Match Info

Date: 7 May 2021, Friday


	Cremonese		Pescara

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.77	3.6	4.55	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4.4
	1.79	3.75	4.88
	1.8	3.5	4.6
	1.82	3.62	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)	3.57 ↑ (3.41)	4.65 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
53.2%

Draw
26.5%

Pescara
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.4%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

17.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cremonese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pescara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.6%	27.3%	15.2%

Cremonese - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). Pescara will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 40.7% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Cremonese has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Pescara has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pescara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
04.05.21	Chievo - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
01.05.21	Cremonese - Reggina	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Monza - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
13.04.21	Cremonese - Empoli	2:2 ✺
10.04.21	Cremonese - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLTW
- Pescara
Italian Serie B
04.05.21	Pescara - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
01.05.21	Nuova Cosenza - Pescara	3:0 ✺
27.04.21	Pescara - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Brescia - Pescara	1:1 ✺
05.04.21	Monza - Pescara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.01.21	Pescara - Cremonese	0:2
03.07.20	Cremonese - Pescara	1:0
22.11.19	Pescara - Cremonese	1:1
20.01.19	Pescara - Cremonese	0:0
25.08.18	Cremonese - Pescara	1:1
24.02.18	Pescara - Cremonese	0:0
23.09.17	Cremonese - Pescara	0:0

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