Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday


	Cremonese		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.4	7.25
	1.35	4.6	9.5	Watch
	1.41	4.2	7.2
	1.43	4.45	9.42
	1.38	4	10
	1.4	4.55	8.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	4.36 ↑ (4.33)	8.5 ↓ (9.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
67.3%

Draw
21.6%

Pordenone
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

21.6%

9.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.6%

18.7%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cremonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-3%)

Cremonese - Pordenone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Cremonese has the most likely position - 1 (25.72%), has project points - 70, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (52%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (26%).

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (90.49%), has project points - 20, has currently - 13, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 24, importance 48, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 0.

Recent matches Cremonese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pordenone has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pordenone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cremonese is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
13.03.22	Pisa - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
05.03.22	Cremonese - Brescia	2:1 ✺
01.03.22	Benevento - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Ternana - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
22.02.22	Cremonese - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWT
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
12.03.22	Pordenone - Como	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Pordenone - Pisa	0:1 ✺
01.03.22	Ternana - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Vicenza Virtus - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
22.02.22	Pordenone - Monza	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.11.21	Pordenone - Cremonese	2:2
10.04.21	Cremonese - Pordenone	2:1
22.12.20	Pordenone - Cremonese	1:2
31.07.20	Cremonese - Pordenone	2:2
29.12.19	Pordenone - Cremonese	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
20.02.16	Cremonese - Pordenone	0:2
10.10.15	Pordenone - Cremonese	1:1

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