The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cremonese 40%
Draw 29.5%
Empoli 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
28.6%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
28.8%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.7%
37.9%
41.4%
Cremonese - Empoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Empoli will win (votes: 12 - 41.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 23.5% โ 59.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 14).
Cremonese has the most likely position - 19 (49.15%), project points - 26, currently - 16, a good chance of relegated (92%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Empoli has the most likely position - 14 (30.88%), project points - 42, currently - 32, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality50, small importance11, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 1.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Cremonese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cremonese: Bianchetti M.
(Yellow Cards)
Chiriches V.
(Muscle Injury)
Ciofani D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Empoli: Vicario G.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Empoli: Akpa Akpro J.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
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