Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Manedo Mazzoni E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	OneFootball TV


	Cremonese		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.00	3.70	Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.50
	2.10	3.10	3.65	Watch
	2.15	3.18	4.00
	1.92	3.35	4.08	Watch
	2.11	3.10	3.90
	2.18	3.05	3.76	Watch
	2.11	3.15	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)	3.14 ↓ (3.37)	3.77 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
45%

Draw
30%

Virtus Entella
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cremonese's form might have worsened.

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cremonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Cremonese - Virtus Entella Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Cremonese (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cremonese will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agazzi F. (G) 38. Vogliacco A. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 6. Baschirotto F. 21. Rocchetti Y. 20. Pontisso S. 16. Gerli F. 2. Thorsby M. 10. Licina A. 90. Bonazzoli F. 14. Berti T.	22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 27. Alborghetti M. 8. Vignali L. 24. Franzoni A. 5. Squizzato N. 80. Benedetti L. 26. Di Mario S. 10. Cuppone L. 11. Guiu B.
Substitutes
18. Collocolo M. 9. De Luca M. 11. Djuric M. 71. Elia S. 13. Fellipe Jack 12. Festa M. (G) 33. Grassi A. 59. Liberali R. (G) 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Lottici Tessadri S. 19. Nasti M. 3. Pezzella G.	18. Annoni T. 91. Colombi S. (G) 9. Corona G. 32. Forte F. 70. Kritta M. 55. Lucas Martello 15. Marconi I. 3. Previtali N. 17. Tirelli M. 12. Torrielli E. (G) 16. Turicchia R. 28. Valori M.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Chiappella A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Pontisso S. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
36', Pecchia F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rocchetti Y. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
58', Licina A. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
58', Thorsby M. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
68', Di Mario S. ↓, Kritta M. ↑,
68', Vignali L. ↓, Annoni T. ↑,
70', Baschirotto F. 🟨,
76', Berti T. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
80', Cuppone L. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
80', Benedetti L. ↓, Previtali N. ↑,
90+2', Squizzato N. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 2.

In recent outings, Cremonese has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Virtus Entella has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cremonese may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Cremonese is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Cremonese: Barbieri T. (Inactive) Fulignati A. (Inactive) Pezzella G. (Inactive) Stuckler D. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Virtus Entella: Bariti D. (Inactive) Mezzoni F. (Inactive).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Cremonese has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 0.9:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cremonese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1.2 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Cremonese: 7.11% Entella: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Entella	5	1	2	2	7:6	1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cremonese - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.78%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Cesena - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cremonese - Padova	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
28.08.26	Cremonese - Modena	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
11.09.26	Pisa - Virtus Entella	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Virtus Entella - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Verona - Virtus Entella	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.03.21	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	0:2
05.12.20	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	2:1
25.01.20	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	1:1
31.08.19	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	0:1
25.03.18	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	0:1
24.10.17	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	1:1
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	0:1

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